POL 111 Lecture Notes - Lecture 19: Exit Poll
Document Summary
The go(cid:448)"t"s legiti(cid:373)a(cid:272)(cid:455) rests o(cid:374) the idea that go(cid:448)"t e(cid:454)ists to ser(cid:448)e the i(cid:374)terests of its. If politi(cid:272)ia(cid:374)s do(cid:374)"t liste(cid:374) to the people, the(cid:374) the(cid:455) are u(cid:374)likel(cid:455) to (cid:271)e reele(cid:272)ted. The ideal democratic citizen: a virtuous citizen concerned for the common good, recognizes that democracy carries obligations as well as rights. Inattentive and ill informed: easily manipulated, politically intolerant, unlikely to participate. Personal contacts, mail from citizens: allows politicians to pick up issues that could be missed in polls, likely to have a sample bias. Eliminating sample bias random samples: development of modern public opinion polls. Library digest and the 1936 presidential election. 1948 presidential election importance of asking the right question. Holocaust survey mishap: double-negative question, better question. Or do you feel certain that it happened. Respondents should be asked things they know and have thought about. Types of polls: national polls (cbs news/ny times, campaign polls. By a would be candidate at the beginning of an election.
