EC-0005 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Time Series, Dependent And Independent Variables, Natural Experiment

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The scientific method is the name for the ongoing process that economists and other scientists use to: develop models of the world, evaluate those models by testing them with data. Models and data: a model is a simplified description of reality, scientific models are used to make predictions that can be checked with empirical evidence. Empirical evidence - consists of facts that are obtained through observation and measurement: also called data. Hypotheses- are predictions (typically generated by a model) that can be tested with data. The mean - the sum of all the different values divided by the number of values. Median - this value is calculated by ordering the number from least to greatest and then finding the value half-way through the list. Causation - occurs when one thing directly affects another. Correlation - means that two variables tend to change at the same time. Positive correlation - implies that two variables tend to movie in the same direction.

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