Class Notes (835,729)
United States (324,243)
POL 51 (46)
Lecture 11

Lecture 11.doc
Premium

3 Pages
38 Views
Unlock Document

Department
Political Science
Course
POL 51
Professor
Ben Highton
Semester
Spring

Description
52014Pol 51 Lecture 11How to estimate Vo for 1980Home State EffectVrVoVr595VoThe vote a candidate other than Reagan would have received in CA in 1980What are some possibilitiesFind a state like CA in terms of demographicspartisanshipetc and see how Reagan did there in 1980find out how the Republican presidential candidate in the previous election when Reagan was not the Republican candidate did in CAMore Data and More ThinkingRepublican vote in California in 1980 595Republican vote in California in 1976 509If Vo599 then the home state effect for Reagan in 1980 was 59550986 percentage pointsif the only important difference between presidential voting in Ca in 1980 compared to 1976 was that Reagan was on the ballot in 1980 then it is reasonable to estimate Vo with the 1976 CA presidential votewere there other important differences between presidential voting in CA in 1980 compared to 1976Back to IncYearsin 1976 the incumbent party was the Republicans and they had been inoffice for 8 years In 1980 the incumbent party was the Democrats and they had been in office for 4 yearsIf you go from the Republicans having been in power for 8 years 1976 to the Democrats having been in power for 4 years 1980 what do you expect to happen to the Repub
More Less

Related notes for POL 51

Log In


OR

Join OneClass

Access over 10 million pages of study
documents for 1.3 million courses.

Sign up

Join to view


OR

By registering, I agree to the Terms and Privacy Policies
Already have an account?
Just a few more details

So we can recommend you notes for your school.

Reset Password

Please enter below the email address you registered with and we will send you a link to reset your password.

Add your courses

Get notes from the top students in your class.


Submit