ECON 161A Lecture 3: Lecture 3

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Questions 1 and 2 about loan payments are not on the hw. When we think about financial market, we think about a portfolio allocation options. Expect interest rates to fall in future; this corresponds to an expectation in the increase in bond prices; higher expected return i falls, qty of bonds rises. Inflation influences the cost of repaying bonds or making the coupon payments and the income you receive from holding bonds. Increase in yield to maturity corresponds to the change in inflation. Falling inflation leads to falling interest rates and the same goes for rising inflation rates and rising interest rates. The business cycle has things going on that influence the market. Leads to an increase in the demand for bonds. Periods of business cycle recession corresponds to decrease in interest rate. Increase in bs tends to be bigger than increase in bd. So the yield on bonds rises and the equilibrium on bonds also increases.

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