ECON 204 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Phillips Curve, Fiscal Policy

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erinturtle274

14 Nov 2016

School

UMASS-Amherst

Department

Economics

Course

ECON 204

Professor

Vamsicharan Vakulabharanam

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Document Summary

P increases, q bar = m increases, v bar. Money is neutral: fiscal policy (multiplier) Supply shocks -> changes in the natural level of output. Put 2 in 1: rate of inflation, rate of unemployment, there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. P = pe * (cid:523)(cid:883) + m(cid:524) f (cid:523)u, z(cid:524) (cid:883) F (u, z) = 1 u + z (cid:884) P = pe * (1 + m) (1 u + z(cid:524) 3. (cid:523))nflation(cid:524) = e + (cid:523)m + z(cid:524) u (cid:886: ^^^ in prices to inflation. In the 1950s and 1960s: (inflation) = (unemployment, inflation is inversely related to unemployment, tradeoff, 6. (cid:523))nflation(cid:524) t = et + (cid:523)m + z(cid:524) ut (cid:887: et = (cid:882) T = (cid:523)m + z(cid:524) (cid:523)u, t(cid:524) (cid:888) T 1 + (m +z) ut: (cid:523)iii(cid:524) = (cid:882) 0 = (m + z) ut. Ut = (cid:523)m + z(cid:524) / (cid:891: nairu: un = (cid:523)m + z(cid:524) / .

Related Questions

10.

The long-run aggregate supply curve (LRAS) is Y = Yf, which depends on the amounts of resources and the level of technology innovation. If a country has more resources and better technology, which of the following is true?

		A. The LRAS curve will shift to the right.
		B. The SRAS will shift to the right.
		C. The SRAS will shift to the left.
		D. Only A and B.
		E. Only A and C.

11.

Suppose the wage rates of workers are based on the expected price level. If there is an unexpected increase in AD, it will cause the actual price level to increase. Then workers should raise their expected price level and negotiate a higher wage rate. Then which of the following is most likely to be true when the expected price increases?

		A. The SRAS curve will shift rightward.
		B. The SRAS curve will shift leftward.
		C. The LRAS curve will shift leftward.
		D. Only A and C.
		E. Only B and C.

12.

Suppose the economy is in the long-run equilibrium, i.e., Y = Yf, and there is an unexpected decrease in AD. Assume that Yf is fixed, then which of the following is most likely to be true?

		A. The SRAS curve will shift to the right toward the new long-run equilibrium.
		B. The SRAS curve will shift to the left toward the new long-run equilibrium.
		C. In the new long-run equilibrium, price level will be higher.
		D. Only A and C.
		E. Only B and C.

13.

The short-run (SR) equilibrium is the intersection between AD and SRAS, and long-run (LR) equilibrium is the intersection between AD and LRAS. Every LR equilibrium is a SR equilibrium, but a SR equilibrium is not always the LR equilibrium. If an economy is operating at a SR equilibrium where Y > Yf, which of the following will occur in the process toward the new LR equilibrium when the economy corrects itself?

		A. Price increases.
		B. Real GDP decreases.
		C. Unemployment rate falls.
		D. Only A and B.
		E. Only B and C.

14.

From the Keynesians, Y = C + I + G + NX can be transformed into a theoretical model. In particular, assume that the consumption C = A + mpc (Y-T), where A is a constant, mpc is the marginal propensity to consume, Y is national income and T is income taxes. Suppose in the goods market equilibrium, aggregate expenditure = national income such that the two Y's will be the same from Y = A + mpc (Y-T) + I + G+ NX. . Suppose C = 400 + 0.75(Y â T). G = 100, I = 100, T = 100, and NX = 150, what is the Y in the goods market equilibrium? (All of the variables are in terms of million dollars)

$ million
Please enter a whole number, with no decimal point.

15.

Continue to assume that C = 400 + 0.75 (Y - 100), I = 100, and NX = 150. But the government now increases spending from 100 to 200, how much is the new Y in the goods market equilibrium?

$ million
Please enter a whole number, with no decimal point.

16.

Continue to assume that C = 400 + 0.75 (Y - 100). Then which of the following is true?

		A. The government spending multiplier = 4.
		B. The tax multiplier = 3.
		C. If the government increases spending by $50 million, and at the same time increases taxes by $50 milion to balance the budget, AD will shift to the right by $50 million.
		D. Only A and C.
		E. Only B and C.

17.

Suppose the federal government needs to balance the budget, which means that when the government spending increases, taxes must increase equally. In this case, government spending multiplier is called the balanced-budget multiplier, defined as the increase in real GDP/increase in government spending. By following the example from the previous question, how mcuh is the balanced-budget multiplier?

Please enter a whole number, with no decimal point.

pearseal539

MBA502, Economics for Business

Apply and Discover 7.2

You are responsible for economic policymaking in your country. Your desire is to eliminate inflation, keeping prices absolutely stable at P = 100, no matter what happens to output. Currently, the economy is in equilibrium at Q = 3200 (where Q = potential GDP) and P = 100. You can use monetary and fiscal policies to affect aggregate demand but you cannot affect aggregate supply in the short run. How would you respond to the following scenarios?

Explain and illustrate how each of these events would affect aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and prices, then explain how you would respond with economic policies.

1. A surprise increase in investment spending

In the short run, when investment spending increases, it results in an increase in Aggregate Demand (AD), which in turn pushes up both GPD and the price index.

To counterbalance this development, government might pursue contractionary fiscal policy by increasing taxes (to reduce consumption) or decreasing its own investment and spending so that the AD curve shifts back to its original position. Alternatively, the government can pursue contractionary monetary policy by reducing money supply and increasing interest rate to discourage economic activity.

2. Catastrophic floods that cause a sharp food price increase

In this case, sharp food shortages and consequent price increases cause a shock-type adjustment of the aggregate supply curve (it shift up and to the left). The result is a lower GDP and a higher price level.

The government cannot do anything to adjust AS in the short run. However, if the goal is to maintain the price level constant, the government can decide to do something to decrease the aggregate demand to force prices to come down, though it will be accompanies by another contraction in GDP and so it would not be a smart thing to do.

To cause AD to decrease, the government, similar to example above, can pursue fiscal policy (increase taxes, decrease spending) or monetary policy (reduce supply of money to the economy and thus increase interest rates).

3. A productivity decline that reduces potential output

In this case, AS shifts to the left, as was the case in example 2. As a result, price levels go up, as the same amount of money is chasing the reduced amount of goods and services, and GDP declines.

Government remedies here would be centered about causing AD to decrease through contractionary fiscal (higher taxes, lower spending) or monetary (reduce money supply and increase interest rates) policy. Again, this decision reduces inflation but at expense of GDP, as real output shrinks further.

4. A deep depression in East Asia that causes a sharp decrease in net exports to the United States

A decrease in exports of goods to from the United States to Asia will mean that the aggregate demand (which includes net exports

Show transcribed image text

1. Which of the following shifts aggregate demand to the right?
a. Congress reduces purchases of new weapons systems.
b. US exports increase.
c. The price level falls
d. New developments in IT increase the productivity of most manufacturing industries in the US.

2. Suppose the EPA introduces new smog regulation that makes it costlier to produce cars. As a result, aggregate supply falls (primary effect) and firms cut back on production. With less output in the economy available for consumers, consumers bid up the prices of available output. With higher prices, firms choose to produce more (secondary effect).
Which of the following best explains what the net effect on GDP?
a. The two effects should essentially cancel out, with little to no effect on GDP, but the price level clearly rises.
b. It is impossible to say what happens to GDP without being able to compare the magnitudes of the two effects.
c. Real GDP rises as the secondary effect dominates the primary effect.
d. Real GDP falls since the primary effect dominates the secondary effect.

3. A Keynesian economist who observes an output gap would conclude that
a. aggregate demand should be shifted to the right.
b. a policy of deregulation would be better than demand management policy
c. aggregate supply should be shifted to the right
d. All proposed answer options are correct

4. Monetarists believe
a. the Aggregate Supply curve is upward-sloping (but not vertical) over all time frames.
b. the Aggregate Supply curve can be treated as horizontal in the long run (over 10 years
c. the Aggregate Supply curve is vertical only in the very long run (over 20 years).
d. the Aggregate Supply curve can be treated as vertical in the short-to-medium run (1-2 years)

5. Suppose the price of oil increases due to conflict in the Middle East. How will this be illustrated in the AD-AS model?
a. The aggregate demand curve will shift to the left
b. The aggregate supply curve will shift to the left.
c. The aggregate demand curve will shift to the right
d. The aggregate supply curve will shift to the right

6. Assume a Keynesian AS curve. In the short run, when there is a large output gap
a. contractionary demand management policy is likely to be highly inflationary
b. expansionary demand management policy does not cause much inflation.
c. expansionary demand management policy is likely to be highly inflationary
d. the government should use contractionary demand management policy

7. As a result of Bush tax cuts that partially expired in January 2013, the marginal tax rates for some households increased and these households paid higher taxes. Which of the following would be the best description of the tax cut expiration?
a. Rightward shift in AS
b. Rightward shift in AD
c. Leftward shift in AD
d. Leftward shift in AS

8. Suppose that the U.S. government increases income taxes on individuals earning more than $500,000/year and uses the revenue from this tax increase to subsidize the cost of energy for businesses. How will this policy change affect the U.S. economy?
a. The effect on output is ambiguous but price level will decrease for sure
b. The effect on both output and price level is ambiguous.
c. The effect on price level is ambiguous but output will increase for sure
d. The effect on price level is ambiguous but output will decrease for sure

9. If Australia, which imports goods from the United States, went into recession, we would expect that U.S. net exports would
a. rise, making aggregate demand shift right.
b. rise, making aggregate demand shift left
c. fall, making aggregate demand shift left
d. fall, making aggregate demand shift right

10. Suppose that Greece decides to exit the European Union and the Euro Zone, causing a boost in business confidence in European markets. How would you illustrate the primary effect of Greeceâs decision in the AD-AS model for the EU economy?

Note: for this question, assume that Y in the AD-AS model represents output (GDP) of EU member countries without Greece.
a. a shift in the aggregate supply curve to the left and a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the left
b. a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the right
c. a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the left
d. movement along the aggregate demand curve to the left

11. The Austrian school of thought believes that demand management policy should not be used because
a. big government prefers deregulation, which shifts aggregate supply
b. the economy is always at full employment
c. shifting AD to the right is likely to cause deflation
d. big government has a bias towards inflationary policy

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ECON 204 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Phillips Curve, Fiscal Policy

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