SOC 3511 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Demographic Transition
Document Summary
Warren thompson (1929: classified countries into three groups . High birth rates and high but declining death rates. Declining birth rates and death rates, with death rates declining aster. Rapidly birth rates and death rates, with birth rates declining faster: assumed that these represented historical stages, he had no data on a pre-transition population, and no post-transition population existed yet. Stage 2: dramatic decline in death rates; high birth rates remain high, onset of industrialization, improvements in health and medical advances, improvements in food production, population growth rate soars. Stage 4: low steady death and birth rates, low natural increase rate, similar to stage 1, population growth rate falls, population is large but not growing. Birth rate and death rate are high and cancel each other out. Population fluctuates for short periods and growth is limited. Death rate declines but the birth rate experiences very little change, creating a period of rapid growth.