POLI 100 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Social Class, Kraljevi Ulice, Alf Landon
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Behaviours: micro behaviour: study of individuals, one at a time, as in the study of voters, macro behaviour: study of groups, e. g. the u. s. electorate, usually over time. We can avoid an unrepresentative sample with systematic procedures. But random procedures also eliminate all biases that you don"t know as. And we have never had a list of american citizens to sample from: the early history of polling can be understood as a series of attempts, some dramatic failures, to find almost-random methods that are economical and reliable. No, the sampling enumeration left out voters without cars, phones, etc. prediction. (alf landon in fact lost by a landslide vote in 1936. ) Repeated in 1936 with same methods, producing alf landon landslide. Conclusion: social class bias in returning of questionnaires. All occasions where people choose whether or not to participate. All of them should be regarded as entertainment, but have no validity.