POLB92H3 Lecture : Lecture Notes

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What role did the demonstration effect play in the collapse of. Almost no one predicted the fall of communism in eastern europe or the ussr. No indication in mid 1980s that ussr ready to give up eastern. Almost every standard text of communism in mid-late 1980s. Europe (when i was in college) emphasized stability of communism. But communism falls extremely suddenly almost without. Only country where end of communism thought likely was. End of communism inherently hard to predict because hinged (in short term) on decisions of a single individual (mikhail gorbachev: communism in 1985. Between the 50"s-80"s enormous gap between the east and west. What is important is not the level of wealth but your relative wealth. If you grow up in a hut, and everybody else around you has huts, then huts are nice but if somebody builds a mansion beside your hut, the hut doesn"t look so good and you get angry.

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