PSY100H1 Lecture 10: lecture 10 Criminal Investigative Failures postable.ppt
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Errors in probability: probability is a difficult concept for the human mind. Errors in probability: police officers may find it particularly hard to think probabilistically, due to street experiences, they prefer black and white rather than shades of grey. Language and uncertainty: what is the probability associated with. Language and uncertainty: whenever we discuss chance, likelihood, risk or forecasting we are talking probability, however, we often use words to describe mathematical probabilities, always, likely, common, risky, infrequently, never. Language and uncertainty: this ambiguity can become a problem during an investigation or criminal trial. 11: v. milgaard, david milgaard was convicted of the rape and murder of gail miller in 1969. A second and occurrence would be any inflammation, either internal or external, of the male genitals. 15: v. milgaard, problem, what did he mean by quite common, the occurrence of antigens being in the bodily fluids of a non-secretor is extremely low.