ECON 305 Chapter Notes -Aggregate Supply, Aggregate Demand, Economic Indicator

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Recession is a decline in real gdp. Investment and consumption also decline (investment at a higher rate) Okun"s law: the negative relationship between unemployment and real gdp. % change in real gdp = 3% - 2 x (change in unemployment rate: u rate rise from 5 to 7, (7-5) plugged in. Leading indicators: variables that tend to fluctuate in advance of the overall economy: avg workweek of production workers in manufacturing. Long work week means high demand for products (hire new soon: avg initial weekly claims for unemployment insurance. Means people will soon be unemployed: new orders for consumer goods and materials, adjusted for inflation. Increase production and employment: new orders for nondefense capital goods. Slower deliveries mean more is being ordered so production is going up: new building permits issued. Increase in stock prices mean expect to be profitable: money supply (m2) adjusted for inflation. Large spread means interest rate rises and increase economic activity.

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