SOSC 1880 Chapter Notes - Chapter 16: Scenario Planning, Double Burden, Sandwich Generation
Document Summary
It doesn"t exist yet; we have to imagine it, based on current trends, hopes, wishes, fears, and calculations of chance. Alternative forecasting methods: genius forecasting: relies mainly on intuition and insight. Stimulation methods: uses analogs to model complex systems. Game analogs may be used to model the interactions of players in imagined social interactions for example, in studying negotiation and bargaining. Scenario method: a narrative forecast that describes a potential course of events. Future studies look into alternative futures and identify the most probable social trends. Social constructionists view the future as a social construct: media portrayals of social problems and trends exert a large influence on people"s perspectives of society, may spark social movements, and contribute to policy- making. Trends in social problems projected to the near future: environmental damage. More extreme weather conditions throughout the year: genetic manipulation. Altering genes to create a desirable trait (i. e. gender, eye colour, intelligence)
