PSY 1101 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Critical Thinking, Standard Deviation, Statistical Significance
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PSY 1101 Full Course Notes
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Chapter 1 thinking critically with psychological science: Hindsight bias = the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it. (aka. Present out of sight, out of mind and absence makes the heart grow fonder to. 2 separate groups of people: both will regard this as unsurprisingly true/common sense = problem, doesn"t mean common sense = wrong, but common sense describes what has happened, not what will happen. Good idea are like good inventions; once created, they seem obvious. We tend to think we know more than we do = overconfidence. * hindsight and overconfidence lead us to overestimate our intuition. [curiosity to explore/understand w/out being mislead] underlay science. W/ ++ ideas (i. e. esp), the proof is in the pudding does it work: moses used this (^) approach (empirical approach, put the prophet to the test.