PSYC 2360 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Falsifiability, Hindsight Bias
15 Sep 2014
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Document Summary
People think they know things they don"t really know. Hindsight bias: the tendency to think we could have predicted something we probably could not have predicted. Many things cannot be predicted by intuition, which is why research is important. Progress in science is dependent on a synery between basic & applied research. Much applied research is guided by the theories & findings of basic research. Findings obtainted in field settings often require modification of existing theories & spur more basic research. Research design: specific method a researcher uses to collect, analyze & interpret data. A specific & falsifiable prediction regarding the relationship between or among 2+ variables. Getting ideas for research: solving real world problems, using observation & intuition, using existing research. Getting ideas about the relationships among variables by observing specific facts. The process of using a theory to generate specific idas that can be tested through research. An integrated set of principles that explains & predicts observed relationships.
