ENV100Y5 Lecture : env100 note 43.docx

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2 Mar 2012
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ENV100Y5 Full Course Notes
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ENV100Y5 Full Course Notes
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More light water locked up in ice caps, so ocean water starts out heavier: globally warm year: More light water released from ice caps, so ocean water starts out lighter. Models are another fundamentally important tool for climate study: general circulation models (gcms, 3-d mathematical models of climate system, link atmospheric, oceanographic, hydrospheric, and biospheric processes with geography and altitude, purposes: Run simulations of present-day climate patterns as a way of testing climate models. There are some sources of uncertainty in gcms: short time length of instrumental records, complexity and feedbacks in climate system, role of clouds. The ipcc summarizes evidence of climate change and predicts future impacts: trend = a pattern that persists within a data set, even after short-term fluctuations and anomalies have been accounted for. 4th assessment report (2007: consensus of scientific climate research from around the world, trends in surface temperature, precipitation patterns, snow and ice cover, sea levels, storm intensity, and other factors.

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