PSYB57H3 Lecture Notes - Lecture 10: Botulism, Measles, Appendicitis
Document Summary
Judgment: process we use to think about evidence, make inferences and reach conclusions. Deduction: situation where we start with some general statement and figure out what specific claim flows from it. Induction: situation where we start with specific fact/observation and draw some general conclusion from them (i. e. gravity, chairs) Heuristic: shortcut; strategy that risks error to gain efficiency (speed) In inductive reasoning, the premises are based on observations form >1 specific cases, and we generalize to a conclusions. Observation: here in toronto, the sun has risen every morning. Conclusion: the sun is going to rise in toronto tomorrow. Observation: every swan i"ve seen in toronto is white, and recently i visited my brother in stratford, and the swans i saw were white as well. Judgements about likelihood in the face of uncertainty. Evidence suggests humans are not endowed with intuitions that obey laws of probability theory.
