POLI 244 Lecture Notes - Worst-Case Scenario Series, Security Dilemma, Strategic Dominance

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Actors have many common interests which lead to cooperation. Dominant discourse may reflect the interests of one or many interacting actors. The better your coercion force is, the more chances there are of you getting whatever you want. Conflict is not inevitable, happens when people act out of personal interests. Tendency to engage in conflict when coop is preferred. Benefits of cooperation over long run are greater than short term gains of exploitation. Going to create more conflict rather than less. Actors must be credible and build a strong reputation --> determination. By trying to be more secure, other states will perceive you as a threat and therefore try to get more security too --> vicious cycle. If we discount the future, and x is the discount rate, then 4 + 2x + 2x^2 +2x^3. The more the future matters, the great the chances for cooperation. But only if a wrong move can be survived.

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