STAT230 Study Guide - Midterm Guide: Blood Test, Random Variable, Moment-Generating Function

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STAT230 Full Course Notes
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STAT230 Full Course Notes
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Suppose that n people take a blood test for a disease, where each person has probability p of having the disease, independent of other people. To save time and money, blood samples from k people are pooled and analyzed together. If none of the k persons has the disease then the test will be negative, but otherwise it will be positive. If the pooled test is positive then each of the k persons is tested separately (so k + 1 tests are done in that case). [3] (a) let x be the number of tests required for a group of k people, then x takes possible values at 1 or k + 1, depending on the outcome of the pooled test. E(x) = k + 1 k(1 p)k . Soln: f (1) = p (x = 1) = (1 p)k and f (k + 1) = p (x = k + 1) = 1 (1 p)k.

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