ECN 506 Study Guide - Final Guide: Phillips Curve, Nominal Interest Rate, Monetary Transmission Mechanism

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Business cycle short-run (year-to-(cid:455)ea(cid:396)(cid:895) flu(cid:272)tuatio(cid:374)s i(cid:374) a(cid:374) e(cid:272)o(cid:374)o(cid:373)(cid:455)"s output a(cid:374)d u(cid:374)e(cid:373)plo(cid:455)(cid:373)e(cid:374)t. Model to explain the business cycle: output is determined by total spending on goods and services by people, firms, and governments. Output means the level of real gross domestic product (real gdp). Spending and output shift over time for many reasons, but monetary policy is a major factor. The central bank can raise output in the short run by reducing interest rates or lower output by raising rates. High output and low unemployment cause inflation to rise; low output and high u(cid:374)e(cid:373)plo(cid:455)(cid:373)e(cid:374)t (cid:272)ause i(cid:374)flatio(cid:374) to fall. I(cid:374)flatio(cid:374) also (cid:396)espo(cid:374)ds to e(cid:448)e(cid:374)ts that affe(cid:272)t fi(cid:396)(cid:373)s" production costs, such as changes in oil prices. The normal level of output is called potential output, and the normal unemployment rate is the natural rate. These variables are also called the long-run levels of output and unemployment. Potential output (y*) the normal or average level of output, as determined by resources and technology.

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