BA 30310 Quiz: Foresight Quiz 2 Part 11
Foresight Quiz #2
• How does one use evidence to support forecasts? In addition to evidence, what else is
required?
Other Questions:
● What are the obstacles a foresight team will likely encounter when pursuing an
evidence-based approach?
o Too much evidence is often seen in these types of projects, and even though
there is an overwhelming amount of evidence, it is very hard to find the
particular ones that you are looking force.
o Additionally, a lot of logic and thinking is required to assume things for the
future.
● Why do’t usiesses ore ooly take a evidee-based approach to decision-
making? What strategies can your team use to take an evidence-based approach on
your foresight project?
find more resources at oneclass.com
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Document Summary
What strategies can your team use to take an evidence-based approach on your foresight project: businesses have been known to focus on the short-term and, by focused expert outreach, increasing validity of data, aligning data with central question. Evidence gap analysis contribute: force field assessment analyzes the forces of change and their impact on the current question at hand, by increasing the knowledge behind forces of change and trends, arriving to a baseline forecast is easier. An evidence gap analysis allows to understand what information is not helpful to the question and what evidence leaves breaches with answered sets within the important question; where is the evidence a weak fit. In order to get possible scenarios of the future it is very important that we understand what has happened in the past. This is very important because if we are able to predict the forces in the upcoming era, our scenarios are more likely to be accurate.
