PHIL 210 Chapter Notes - Chapter ch7,8: Intuitionistic Logic, Confidence Interval, Law Of Excluded Middle

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Chapter 6- probability and statistics: reasoning from incomplete information. Confidence interval: the range of values within which we can be statistically confident (to some specified degree) that the true value falls. Conditional probability: a conjoint probability of dependent events where p(a|b) is read as "the probability of a given b. " Standard deviation: a representative number that shows the spread in the sample data. Notes: representative sampling: reveal correlations and causes among various event and conditions. It is, however, also a function of how precise a conclusion we are trying to draw: confidence is cheap. Roughly, this means that if we conducted the very same poll repeatedly, we would have. It does mean that we cannot be 95% confident in the difference. In short, a set of data typically permits you to be confident, to a degree, in some statistical conclusion that is precise, to a degree: understanding a statistical claim requires knowing both degrees.

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