POLI 244 Chapter Notes -Arms Control, United Nations Security Council Resolution 1696, Class Conflict

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Capability of developing nuclear energy is not a violation to the npt. Fear of nuclear weapon intent; no actual proof. Insists on its right to enrich uranium for power reactors, but not production of nuclear weapons. Ongoing negotiations since 2003 between france, germany, uk, us. Unsc asked to suspend enrichment and implement other arms control measures (resolution 1696); unsuccessful. If negotiations fail, three alternatives: move from diplomacy to economic/political coercion, states could launch a preventive attack to erode/destroy the nuclear program, develop strategies of containment and deterrence to coexist with a nuclear-armed iran. Containment strategy (#3) most likely to achieve us strategic goals and so at lower risk and costs. Impossible to organize new int"l sanctions regime ! Russia and china won"t think it will lead to war. Won"t change iran"s behavior, but can commit int"l community to another level. Can"t use an embargo on oil because it will multiply prices everywhere.

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