FIN 512 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Operational Risk, Credit Risk, Social Insurance

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Principles: law of large numbers insurance companies can charge small premiums for large loss exposures, an insurance policy is a contract. Risk/return tradeoffs- the more risk one is willing to accept, the higher the possible return. Risk management- limiting the size of the bet so you are not wiped out if you take the wrong side. Risk - an uncertainty about the occurrence of a loss. Exogenous risk- risk that we have no control of. Objective risk - risk that is determined by analysing past experiences. Standard deviation - average difference of each loss from the average. Subjective risk the uncertainty is based on a person"s mental condition and the subjective probability is based on an individual"s personal estimate of a chance of loss. Use inductive reasoning to come to conclusions about objective risks. Use deductive reasoning where the probability is obvious. Pure risk- where there is a chance of loss or no gain insurable.

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