FARE 2410 Chapter Notes -Futures Exchange, Commodity Market, Fundamental Analysis

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orangemoose702

12 Apr 2014

School

University of Guelph

Department

Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics

Course

FARE 2410

Professor

Wayne C Pfeiffer

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Document Summary

A futures market involves: large numbers of buyers and sellers, homogeneous products, free entry and exit, full information. Long position: when you make a contract to buy corn. Short position: when you make a contract to sell corn. Margin: an amount sufficient to cover any short-term price changes. To make judgments about prices in the future there are two different approaches: Based on the concepts on supply and demand: technical analysis. Based on the past patterns of price changes. Volume: the number of futures contracts traded in a particular commodity on a particular day. Open interest: the number of futures contracts outstanding in a commodity (have not been covered) If volume is up, open interest is up and prices are up, it is a bullish new longs are entering the market, and new shorts are only entering the market at higher prices.

Related Questions

The following table shows the market demand schedule and supply schedule for notebooks.

Price ($/unit)	Quantity Demanded (units)	Quantity Supplied (units)
1	20	4
2	16	6
3	14	10
4	12	12
5	10	14
6	7	17
7	4	20
8	2	22
9	1	25

Refer to the table above. Assume that the market for notebooks is in equilibrium.

1. Which of the following is likely to happen if there is an increase in the school enrollment rate, everything else remaining unchanged?

A. Both the equilibrium price and quantity of notebooks decrease.

B. The equilibrium price and quantity remain unchanged.

C. Both the equilibrium price and quantity of notebooks increase.

D. The equilibrium price increases, but the equilibrium quantity of notebooks decreases.

2. A shortage occurs in a market when:

A.price is lower than the equilibrium price.

B. price is higher than the equilibrium price.

C. supply exceeds demand.

D. the marginal utility of consumption is negligible.

3. A change in the quantity demanded of a good is:

A. the outcome of a change in income.

B. the outcome of a change in tastes and preferences.

C. represented by a shift to a new demand curve.

D. represented by a movement along the demand curve.

4. The following table shows the demand schedules of three consumers of wine. Assume that these three buyers constitute the entire market.

PRICE ($/Bottle)	Sandra's Demand (Bottles)	David's Demand (Bottles)	Mary's Demand (Bottles)
â$8	2		10
â$6	14	15	18
â$4		23	24
â$2	24	27	28

Refer to the table above. If the market price of wine is $8/bottle, and the market demand for wine is 19 bottles, David's consumption of wine is:

A. 12 bottles.

B. 9 bottles.

C. 4 bottles.

D. 7 bottles.

5. Which of the following factors will NOT cause a shift in the demand for a good?

A. A change in the number of consumers

B. A change in the market price of the good

C. A change in tastes and preferences

D. A change in consumer incomes

6. Are all markets perfectly competitive?

A. No, there are other market types where firms have considerable power to control the price.

B. Yes, any economic system with a market structure is by definition perfectly competitive.

C. No, there are also command and control markets that are run by a central government.

D. No, in other types of markets, sellers offer identical goods and simply accept the market price.

7. Assume that a seller in a perfectly competitive market charges more than the equilibrium price. It is likely that this seller will:

A. increase his profit.

B. lose only a few buyers.

C. increase his sales.

D. lose almost all of his buyers.

8. The willingness to pay for a commodity:

A. increases as the consumption of the commodity increases.

B. is always less than the market price of the commodity.

C. decreases as the consumption of the commodity increases.

D. is always greater than the market price of the commodity.

9. Which of the following is likely to lead to a right shift in the supply curve of cotton?

A. An increase in labor productivity due to training programs

B. A rise in labor costs due to wage demands by labor unions

C. An increase in the price of cotton

D. A decrease in the price of cotton

10. The buyers of a good will want to purchase it as long as their willingness to pay for the good is:

A. equal to zero.

B. greater than or equal to the price.

C. greater than zero.

D. less than the price.

redmammoth450

Question 1 If it was impossible to have a comparative advantage, there would be no gains from trade. True False 4 points

Question 2 If the price of Good X is $10 and price of Good Y is $15, the slope of the budget constraint is 1.5. True False 4 points

Question 3 If the demand and supply curves have equal slopes in absolute value, the burden of a commodity tax will be split equally regardless of on whom the tax is placed. True False 4 points

Question 4 Suppose that supply is fixed at 100 units and demand is Q = 500 P. A price ceiling of $100 creates a shortage of 400 units. True False 4 points

Question 5 Housing shortages caused by rent controls are larger in the long run because the supply of housing is more elastic in the long run. True False 4 points

Question 6 Firms should exit the industry if average costs are greater than marginal costs. True False 4 points

Question 7 If a 3.67 percent increase in price causes a 1.97 percent decrease in quantity demanded, then total revenue must fall following an increase in price. True False 4 points

Question 8 Which of the following choices best illustrates the concept of Adam Smith's invisible hand ? A Vietnamese farmer grows rice; an exporter ships it to the United States, and a grocer in New York sells it to a customer. A fishery's stock of fish becomes depleted due to overfishing as boats from around the world converge. A government regulates a firm to clean up the pollutants it has released as part of its production process. An apartment building is built, which provides much needed housing, on the site of the only playground for children in that town. 4 points

Question 9 Figure: Labor Supply and Welfare Refer to the figure. The budget constraint is: ABC. BD. ABDC. ABD. 4 points Question 10 The price of coffee has increased, yet evidence suggests the demand for coffee has been stable. A possible explanation is that: there has been no change in the supply of coffee. there has been increased use of subsidies in coffee production. wages of workers in coffee production might have decreased. wages of workers in coffee production might have increased. 4 points Question 11 Which of the following statements is TRUE regarding profit maximization in competitive markets? I. When all firms pursue profits, none of them achieve profits. II. When all firms pursue profits, only the most innovative will achieve profits. III. Production is divided in such a way that total costs of production are minimized. I only II only I and III only II and III only 4 points Question 12 Suppose France can produce four phones or three computers with one unit of labor, and Sweden can produce one phone or two computers with one unit of labor. If France can trade only with Sweden, then the theory of comparative advantage suggests that: France should specialize in producing phones and import computers from Sweden. France should specialize in producing computers and import phones from Sweden. France should produce both phones and computers, and import nothing from Sweden. France should import both phones and computers from Sweden. 4 points Question 13 Potato chips and popcorn are substitutes. A subsidy for potato chips will ______the demand for popcorn and the quantity of popcorn sold will ______. (Table: Barrels of Oil) Refer to the table. What is the total amount of producer surplus (per barrel of oil) earned by all four producers if the market price per barrel of oil is $51? Table: Barrels of Oil Minimum willingness to sell Country a single barrel of oil Country A $32.00 Country B 16.00 Country C 17.25 Country D 56.99 increase; increase increase; decrease decrease; decrease decrease; increase 4 points Question 14 In the market for Good X a necessity good without any good substitutes the workers and capital in the industry can easily find work producing other goods. The burden of the tax is likely to fall: more heavily on buyers, given that demand is more inelastic than supply. evenly between buyers and sellers. more heavily on sellers, given that supply is more inelastic than demand. more heavily on buyers, given that demand is more elastic than supply. 4 points Question 15 A U.S. manufacturer arranges to purchase parts from a German supplier for 500,000 euros in six months. The U.S. manufacturer is concerned that the dollar will depreciate against the euro, meaning the dollar cost of the 500,000 euros will rise. What should the U.S. manufacturer do? lobby the Fed to lower interest rates on six-month T-bills buy a futures contract that fixes the dollar cost of 500,000 euros in six months buy an exchange rate contract that pegs the interest rate to the discount rate on interbank loans sell a naked option to cover the output spread 4 points Question 16 Which of the following scenarios would cause a speculator to buy low and sell high ? Farmers expect to have a bumper harvest of corn next year. Imports of corn begin to flood the country. The government is expected to pass legislation making it mandatory for all vehicles to use corn-based fuels within one year. The government is expected to subsidize corn production for farmers. 4 points Question 17 In a market with a price ceiling which of the following is TRUE? Buyers and sellers experience unexploited gains from trade. Resources are allocated to their most efficient uses. The supply of goods is sold by the sellers with the lowest costs. The supply of goods is bought by the buyers with the highest willingness to pay. 4 points Question 18 Consider the following statements: I. Relative to a no-trade situation, if the United States exported wheat, the U.S. domestic wheat price would rise and domestic production of wheat would expand. II. Relative to a no-trade situation, international trade causes prices of all goods to rise. I is true; II is false. I is false; II is true. Both I and II are true. Both I and II are false. 4 points Question 19 As the price of a good fluctuates, a profit-maximizing firm will expand or contract production along its: average cost curve. average product curve. marginal cost curve. marginal product curve. 4 points Question 20 An increase in demand and a decrease in supply occur in a market. What happens to the equilibrium price and quantity? The equilibrium price decreases; the change in the equilibrium quantity is ambiguous. The equilibrium price decreases; the equilibrium quantity increases. The equilibrium price increases; the change in the equilibrium quantity is ambiguous. The equilibrium price increases; the equilibrium quantity decreases.

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1 Other things remaining the same, a left shift in the supply curve will lead to:

A. a decrease in the equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity.

B. an increase in the equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity.

C. an increase in the equilibrium price and a decrease in the equilibrium quantity.

D. a decrease in the equilibrium price and an increase in the equilibrium quantity.

2 Two goods are said to be complements when a fall in the price of one good:

A. leads to a fall in price of the other good.

B. leads to a left shift in the demand for the other good.

C. leads to a right shift in the demand for the other good.

D. doesn't affect the demand for the other good.

3 In a competitive free market:

A. all exchanges take place involuntarily.

B. there is no provision for the protection of property rights.

C. there is only one seller and many buyers.

D. the government does not impose price controls.

4 Which of the following correctly explains the role of economic agents in a free market?

A. Economic agents allocate goods to those buyers who value the goods the most.

B. Economic agents allocate goods to those buyers who need the goods the most.

C. Economic agents set production quotas for sellers in the market.

D. Economic agents set prices according to the production cost of each good.

5 Which of the following was an effect of the price ceiling placed on gasoline in the U.S. in the 1970s?

A. Gas stations ran out of gas as the quantity of gas demanded exceeded the quantity supplied.

B. Car owners started buying luxury cars that were less fuel-efficient as the price of gas was very low.

C. Those who valued gas the most were able to buy gas under the price ceiling.

D. The inventory of unsold gas increased and gas stations incurred losses.

6 Willingness to accept is:

A. the highest price that a producer is willing to receive to sell an extra unit of a good.

B. always higher than the marginal cost of production.

C. always lower than the marginal cost of production.

D. the lowest price that a producer is willing to receive to sell an extra unit of a good.

7 Assume that the economy is in a recession and consumers are expecting a fall in their income levels. This will cause a(n):

A. right shift in the market demand for all goods.

B. left shift in the market demand for all goods.

C. an increase in the total quantity demanded of all goods.

D. decrease in the total quantity demanded of all goods.

8 Which of the following factors is expected to cause the demand curve for coffee to shift to the right?

A. A higher personal tax on the income of all consumers

B. An increase in the supply of coffee due to better weather

C. A higher tax on the sale of tea, a substitute for coffee

D. A fall in the manufacturing cost of coffee

9 If the demand and supply curves for a commodity shift to the right and the shift in demand is greater than the shift in supply, then in comparison to the initial equilibrium, the new equilibrium will be characterized by:

A. the same price and quantity.

B. a lower price and quantity.

C. a higher price and a lower quantity.

D. a higher price and quantity.

10 Which of the following statements correctly describes a perfectly competitive market?

A. Haggling and bargaining are commonly observed in a perfectly competitive market.

B. Buyers in a perfectly competitive market pay different prices according to their individual demand.

C. In a perfectly competitive market, individual sellers and buyers can influence the market price.

D. All participants in a perfectly competitive market are price-takers.

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FARE 2410 Chapter Notes -Futures Exchange, Commodity Market, Fundamental Analysis

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