PSYC 2650 Chapter Notes -Modus Tollens, Modus Ponens, Confirmation Bias
18 Mar 2013
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Chapter 13: reasoning: thinking through the implications of. Often we draw conclusions from claims that seem solidly established. This relies on deduction - a process through which we start with claims or assertions that we could as given and ask what follows from these premises. Deduction allows us to make predictions about upcoming events. The same predictions can keep our beliefs in touch with reality. Each of us regards that many of our beliefs are solidly established e. g. water is wet. How do we proceed in cases where we are uncertain? there are concerns with the ambiguity of confirming evidence and the great value of disconfirming evidence. Confirmation bias in order to evaluate a belief, it"s often useful to seek out both evidence that supports that belief and also evidence that might challenge the belief. Despite the usefulness of disinformation, people generally don"t do it.
