GEOG 310 Chapter Notes - Chapter 3: Lewis Fry Richardson, Weather Underground, Anthropocene
Document Summary
"the weatherman is not a moron" (by nate silver): Although the weatherman is typically thought to be incorrect, it is because most people do not out weight the that they are only slightly wrong. The weatherman is able to predict accurately as they accepted their. Believed that even the most sophisticated computers would not work all the time. Meteorology is essentially predictions on an extremely complex and infinite number of components (e. g. the different molecules) --> thus it is incredibly difficult to predict even if you break down every single component. Lewis fry richardson --> attempted to induce scientific certainty by breaking down meteorology into different parts and measuring each of them, also employed a large amount of man power. It is important to understand that we are never able to reproduce the. Same thing --> as our systems are way too complex (same idea as the coin toss) Chaos theory: certain types of system is very hard to predict.
