ECO220Y1 Chapter Notes - Chapter 3: Statistical Parameter, Sampling Frame, Sample Size Determination

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23 May 2018
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ECO220
May 2018
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Ch. 3: Surveys and Sampling
LO 3.1 Three Principles of Sampling
Principle 1: Examine a part of the whole
First step is to draw a sample
Population: the entire group of individuals or instances about whom we hope to learn
Sample: a subset of a population, examined in hopes of learning about the population
Sample survey: a study that asks questions of a sample drawn form some population in hopes of
learning something about the entire population
Sampling methods that over- or underemphasize some characteristics of the population are
said to be biased
Biased: any systematic failure of a sampling method to represent its population
Conclusions based on biased samples are inherently flawed
There is no way to fix bias after the sample is drawn and no way to salvage useful
information from it
Best strategy to minimize bias is to select individuals randomly for the sample
Principle 2: Randomize
Randomization can protect against factors that you aren't aware of, as well as those you
know are in the data
Randomizing protects us from the influences of all the features of our population by
making sure that on average, the sample looks like the rest of the population
Randomization: a defence against bias in the sample selection process, in which each individual
is given a fair, random chance of selection
Two things make randomization fair:
1. Nobody can guess the outcome before it happens
2. Some underlying set of outcomes will be equally likely
Why not match the sample to the population?
We can't possibly think of all the relevant variables that might be important
Sampling variability: the natural tendency of randomly drawn samples to differ from one
another
Principle 3: The sample size is what matters
The size of the sample determines what we can conclude from the data regardless of the
size of the population
o The size of the population does not matter at all
Sample size: the number of individuals in a sample, usually denoted by n
Balance between how well the survey can measure the population and how much the
survey costs
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ECO220
May 2018
2
Sample needs to be large enough to be representative of the population
LO 3.2 A Census - Does it Make Sense?
Census: an attempt to collect data on the entire population of interest
Can be difficult to complete a census
o Some individuals are hard to locate or hard to measure
o The population may change
o Can be cumbersome. Requires a large team of people
A sample surveyed in a shorter time frame may generate more accurate information
LO 3.3 Populations and Parameters
Statistic: obtained from a sample and used to estimate a population parameter
Parameter: unknown values. Have to settle for estimates of these from sample statistics
Population parameter: a numerically valued attribute of a model for a population. We rarely
expect to know the value of a parameter, but we do hope to estimate it from sampled data
Representative sample: a sample from which the statistics computed accurately reflect the
corresponding population parameters
LO 3.4 Simple Random Sampling (SRS)
Sample-to-sample variability is to be expected
o If different sample from a population vary little from each other, then most likely the
underlying population harbors little variation
o If the samples show much sampling variability, the underlying population probably
varies alot
We must strive to avoid bias
o Bias means that our sampling method distorts our view of the population
Simple random sample (SRS): a sample in which each set of n individuals in the population has
an equal chance of selection
Standard against which we measure other sampling methods
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ECO220Y1 Full Course Notes
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Document Summary

Principle 1: examine a part of the whole: first step is to draw a sample. Population: the entire group of individuals or instances about whom we hope to learn. Sample: a subset of a population, examined in hopes of learning about the population. Randomization: a defence against bias in the sample selection process, in which each individual is given a fair, random chance of selection. Two things make randomization fair: nobody can guess the outcome before it happens, some underlying set of outcomes will be equally likely. Why not match the sample to the population: we can"t possibly think of all the relevant variables that might be important. Sampling variability: the natural tendency of randomly drawn samples to differ from one another. Principle 3: the sample size is what matters: the size of the sample determines what we can conclude from the data regardless of the size of the population, the size of the population does not matter at all.

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