PHYSICS 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: Forward Rate, Real Interest Rate, Savings Account

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Exchange foreign currency received for an oversea sale. To have foreign currency for an oversea purchase. Preference for holding part of total wealth in a foreign currency. Central bank (not a retail bank!) is managing the exchange rate: motivation: profit / keeping value of e. g. moderate / manage value) Speculation (buying something, wait until value increases, resell it huge effect; even bigger than trading!) Bigger demand & bigger supply e. g. value increases; yen value decreases higher value, less supply possible (too expensive) Example: (spot) eur / gbp = 1 // promise: 10,000 gbp in 3 months. Spot in 3 months = b) eur / gbp = 0. 1 (amount of gbp 1 will buy me 0. 1 pounds) Or c) eur / gbp = 10: 10,000 , 100,000 best, 1,000 . Shows risk of just using spot market; reducing risk = forward rate (charging higher amounts to cover own risk); Last 2 digits basic points (a cent of a cent)

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