L33 Psych 315 Lecture 1: Social Psychology L1 and L2

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In some cases, it can be difficult to definitively prove that the conspiracy theory is categorically false. How good are people at estimating probabilities about certain outcomes: not too bad, but, people tend to overestimate probability of infrequent events. If out(cid:272)o(cid:373)e (cid:454) is reall(cid:455) rare, people k(cid:374)o(cid:449) it"s rare (cid:271)ut the(cid:455) still thi(cid:374)k it"s (cid:373)ore (cid:272)o(cid:373)(cid:373)o(cid:374) than it really is. Risk estimates-- ex. contracting ebola is unlikely. Presidential approval ratings: honeymoon period- initial spike in approval ratings, all downhill afterwards occurs universally, exception: gw bush after 9/11 attacks, his approval (which started low), skyrocketed to 91% President as a figurehead source of power to respond to collective fear. Anger at being unjustly attacked president as a source of enacting retaliation/retribution. Connected to justice violation (they attacked us) Donald trump: highest approval rating: 47% (nov 20, when we was elected: boutta drift down, does(cid:374)"t ha(cid:448)e as (cid:373)u(cid:272)h politi(cid:272)al (cid:272)apital to spe(cid:374)d.

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