L33 Psych 315 Lecture 1: Social Psychology L1 and L2
Document Summary
In some cases, it can be difficult to definitively prove that the conspiracy theory is categorically false. How good are people at estimating probabilities about certain outcomes: not too bad, but, people tend to overestimate probability of infrequent events. If out(cid:272)o(cid:373)e (cid:454) is reall(cid:455) rare, people k(cid:374)o(cid:449) it"s rare (cid:271)ut the(cid:455) still thi(cid:374)k it"s (cid:373)ore (cid:272)o(cid:373)(cid:373)o(cid:374) than it really is. Risk estimates-- ex. contracting ebola is unlikely. Presidential approval ratings: honeymoon period- initial spike in approval ratings, all downhill afterwards occurs universally, exception: gw bush after 9/11 attacks, his approval (which started low), skyrocketed to 91% President as a figurehead source of power to respond to collective fear. Anger at being unjustly attacked president as a source of enacting retaliation/retribution. Connected to justice violation (they attacked us) Donald trump: highest approval rating: 47% (nov 20, when we was elected: boutta drift down, does(cid:374)"t ha(cid:448)e as (cid:373)u(cid:272)h politi(cid:272)al (cid:272)apital to spe(cid:374)d.