POLS1006 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Small Arms And Light Weapons, Conventional Weapons, Second Strike
18 Jul 2018
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Document Summary
Security dilemma: trying to make yourself more secure may actually make you less secure. Weapons of which small numbers can destroy life and/or inanimate objects on a vast scale very quickly. The attempt to prevent war by discouraging a potential aggressor. Primary goal of the defender is to convince the challenger that the probable cost of attacking will far exceed any anticipated gains: 3 cs of deterrence capability credibility cost, first strike vs second strike. A(cid:271)ility to (cid:374)egate a(cid:374)othe(cid:396) (cid:272)ou(cid:374)t(cid:396)y"s se(cid:272)o(cid:374)d st(cid:396)ike (cid:272)apa(cid:271)ility. Ability to absorb a first strike and retaliate: proliferation. Spread, horizontal vs. vertical: mad: mutually assured destruction, nuts: nuclear utilization target selection. Likelihood of war decreases as deterrence increases; responsibly used, nukes make wars hard to start. Hiroshima and nagasaki less than 30 days later the end of the war. Manhattan project: second nuclear age (1992-) Reflection: what did we really learn about deterrence during the cold war. China 1964: signing of nuclear non-proliferation treaty (1968)
