ECON10003 Lecture Notes - Lecture 21: Big Mac Index, The Foreign Exchange, Real Interest Rate

32 views2 pages
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS WEEK 11
The Foreign Exchange Rate
The foreign exchange rate: the price of one currency in terms of another. Can be expressed as either: how much of
the domestic currency is required to purchase one unit of the foreign currency OR how much of the foreign currency is
required to purchase one unit of the domestic currency?
Trade weighted index (TWI): a weighted average of the value of the AUD in terms of the currencies of our twenty
largest trade partners, where the weights reflect the size of our trade with that country.
Nominal Exchange Rate: the rate at which currencies are traded for each other. In a floating/flexible exchange rate
regime, the nominal exchange rate is determines by the supply and demand for the countryā€™s currency.
Real Exchange Rate: price of the average domestically produced product or service relative to the price of the
average foreign produced product or service when prices are expressed in a common currency. Measures relative
prices of domestic and foreign G&S and so is imperative in measuring a countryā€™s competitiveness in international
trade. The real exchange rate and a companyā€™s competitiveness can change for one or both of two reasons:
1. A change in the nominal exchange rate
2. A change in the ratio of domestic prices to foreign prices (usually occurs as countries experience different
rates of inflation)
Allow e to equal the nominal exchange rate i.e. the number of units of foreign currency needed to purchase a unit
of domestic currency or the number of units of foreign currency a domestic unit of currency will buy. If e increases
this corresponds to an appreciation of the domestic currency, if e decreases, the domestic currency is depreciating.
Allow P = avg. price of domestic G&S and allow = foreign price level. So real exchange rate = eP/, where eP
measures domestic prices in terms of the foreign currency.
A countryā€™s real exchange rate will increase and itā€™s international competitiveness will be reduced if:
i. e increases (appreciation of nominal exchange rate)
ii. P increases
iii. decreases
These all mean that it will be more difficult to export and easier to import.
Purchasing power parity: Law of one price. In the long run, nominal exchange rates will adjust to that a unit of a
currency can purchase the same amount or quantity of goods and services in each country. Currencies move towards
an equilibrium relationship so that prices of an identical bundle of G&S are the same in two or more countries. This is
assuming there are no trade barriers (quotas or tariffs), no transportation costs and G&S are entirely identical.
If nominal exchange rates are such that the prices of G&S are different, residents of countries where exchange
rate prices are higher will buy them in the low price country. Traders may buy them in the low price country and sell
them in the high price country. If PPP holds true, real exchange rate would = 1. If G&S is cheaper in one country, this
would imply an increase in demand for the currency of the low price country which is an increase in supply of the
high price country
Purchasing power parity- Limitations: Can predict well in the long run in the sense that it allows us to understand
why countries with a high rate of inflation tend to experience a depreciation of their nominal exchange rate. However,
it cannot predict will in the short-run. There can be significant depreciations or appreciations in currencies, despite
there not being obvious changes in inflation rates between two countries, this can be expected as there are many G&S
not traded internationally and not all G&S are identical. So PPP does not apply to all G&S because a requirement is
the assumption that there are insignificant transport costs (and they are not all identical). The more important are non-
traded G&S in GDP, the less likely PPP is to apply.
The Big Mac Index: compares the price of a Big Mac in USD and in local currencies and uses this to compare actual
nominal exchange rates with what would be expected with purchasing power parity.
Remembering the supply and demand for a countryā€™s currency reflects the value of all those transactions recorded in
the balance of payments. So changes in a countryā€™s nominal exchange rate will reflect changes in the supply of or
demand for it currency- which reflect changes in the current account and capital and financial account. Supply of
AUD reflects Australian residents desire to purchase assets and G&S from overseas. Similarly, the demand for AUD
reflects the supply of foreign currencies from non-residents who wish to buy Aus. G&S and assets and from Aus.
Residents holding foreign currencies.
find more resources at oneclass.com
find more resources at oneclass.com
Unlock document

This preview shows half of the first page of the document.
Unlock all 2 pages and 3 million more documents.

Already have an account? Log in

Get access

Grade+20% off
$8 USD/m$10 USD/m
Billed $96 USD annually
Grade+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
40 Verified Answers
Class+
$8 USD/m
Billed $96 USD annually
Class+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
30 Verified Answers

Related Documents

Related Questions