SCI1300 Lecture Notes - Lecture 16: Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Commonwealth Scientific And Industrial Research Organisation, Crystal Ball
4 Sep 2018
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A numerical representation of the climate system based on the physical, chemical and biological properties of its components, their interactions and feedback processes, and accounting for all or some of its known properties. For example, australia (csiro, bom, univs) contributed two climate models to cmip phase 5. O(cid:449)hat is a (cid:862)s(cid:272)e(cid:374)ario(cid:863)? (cid:862) plausi(cid:271)le a(cid:374)d ofte(cid:374) si(cid:373)pli ed des(cid:272)riptio(cid:374)s of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key driving for(cid:272)es a(cid:374)d relatio(cid:374)ships. (cid:863) (cid:894)e(cid:272)os(cid:455)ste(cid:373)s a(cid:374)d hu(cid:373)a(cid:374) (cid:449)ell-being: Findings of the scenarios working group of the millennium ecosystem assessment, Model parameterisations: variable being projected, temperature projections more credible than rainfall projections, projections of averages more credible than projections of extremes, geographical scale of area for projection, emission scenarios. Climate sensitivity: climate sensitivity: change in annual mean global surface temperature due to doubling of.
