8246 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Pacific Islands Forum, Opportunity Cost, Ethnic Cleansing

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Week 11 - When to Intervene: Security, Stability and Development
Security, Stability and Development
When, Where, Why, and How to Intervene
Clear, Hold, and Build and Maybe Transition
Questions to Ask
Did we ask ourselves what victory looks like?
How long should we stay and met our objectives?
What is out strategy?
What are our aims and objectives?
Do we have an exit plan?
Weinberger/Powell Doctrine
Troops should be committed only when vital national interests are threatened;
There should be clearly defined political and material objectives;
Military power should only be used after all other elements of power had been tried
and then only as the last resort
When employed military force should be there right size and used decisively with the
intent to win;
A plausible exit strategy exists and
There is a popular domestic and broad international support
When - Early
Where - Multiple Choices
Why - Interests or values
How - Whole of Government
Fragile States
Countries that face particularly grave poverty and development challenges and are
at high risk of further decline - or even failure.
Government and state structures lack the capacity (or, in some cases, the political
will) to provide public safety and security, good governance and economic growth for
their citizens
All fragile states are different and many reasons can cause their fragility but features
they share are weak governance, failing public institutions, instability or conflict - all of
which contribute to dismal growth prospects.
People living in fragile states are more likely to die early or suffer from chronic
illness, and less likely to receive a basic education or essential health services
Reasons for getting involved:
Instability or open conflict
Weak administrative systems vulnerable to corruption
Small size and geographical isolation
Under-development - widespread poverty, lack of infrastructure, and a relatively
unskilled workforce
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Social Indicators
Demographic Pressure
Refugees and IDP's
Group Grievance
Human Flight and Brain Drain
Economic Indicators
Uneven Economic Development
Poverty and Economic Decline
Political and Military Indicators
State Legitimacy
Public Services
Human Rights and Rule of Law
Security Apparatus
Factionalized Elites
External Interventions
Cause of State Failure
Corruption
Lack of Basic Education
Poverty
Group Hatred
Lack of Social Equity
External Actors
Malnutrition and Disease
Natural Disasters
Environmental Damage
Indicators
Economic - asses a state's ability to provide it's citizens with a stable economic
environment that facilitates sustainable and equitable growth
Political - asses the quality of a state's political institutions and the extent to which
its citizens accept as legitimate their system of governance
Security - evaluate whether a state is able to provide physical security for it's citizens
Social Welfare - how well a state meets basic human needs of it's citizens, including
nutrition, health, education, and access to clean water and sanitation
Observations
Poverty alleviation should be given higher priority in U.S. policy, because poorer
countries tend to be weaker ones, and the consequences of state weakness can be
significant for U.S. national security
U.S. assistance to the world's weakest states should be increased and targeted to
address unique performance gaps in these countries
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Document Summary

Week 11 - when to intervene: security, stability and development. When, where, why, and how to intervene. Clear, hold, and build and maybe transition. Troops should be committed only when vital national interests are threatened; There should be clearly defined political and material objectives; Military power should only be used after all other elements of power had been tried and then only as the last resort. When employed military force should be there right size and used decisively with the intent to win; There is a popular domestic and broad international support. Countries that face particularly grave poverty and development challenges and are at high risk of further decline - or even failure. Government and state structures lack the capacity (or, in some cases, the political will) to provide public safety and security, good governance and economic growth for their citizens.

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