POLS1005 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Warsaw Pact, Bandwagoning, 1982 World Men'S Handball Championship

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21 May 2018
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[Lecture 5]
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND WAR
ALLIANCES
States commit to security alliances when states have compatible interests in military
cooperation
Alliances can change bargaining dynamics
Types of alliances:
Alliance types defined by power distribution:
- Bilateral or between several states (e.g. NATO)
- Asymmetrical a powerful state commits to defending a weaker state (e.g. US and
South Korea)
Alliance types according to promise response
- Offensive State A will come to State B’s aid if State B starts a war
- Defensive State A will come to State B’s aid if State B is attacked
Alliances are costly:
States commit to the expense of blood and treasure to defend another state
They must be upheld in order to be credible, even if defeat is likely
Alliances limit freedom because discussions will allies are necessary before taking actions or
making decisions
An emboldened ally may entrap protector in conflict
Why form alliances?
Weak state may gain protection from powerful rivals
Strong state may signal its resolve to defend weak state
Combining resources may economise, allowing for a greater (and more effective) defence
They can temper existing conflicts (e.g. Greece and Turkey in NATO)
They can formalize a sphere of influence (e.g. the Warsaw Pact)
Alliances and the balance of power
Balancing results in roughly equal blocs
- Small states seek to avoid domination by alliance leader
- Alliance with strong state threatens state freedom
Balancing does not explain all alliance formation
- Powerful states do not always generate opposing alliances
Other explanations:
- Bandwagoning when states join winning side e.g. Italy in 1943 during WW2
- Affinity shared culture, ideology, or religion
European Alliances 1871 1939
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Toward the end of the 19th century, Germany, emerged as a single power
Early 20th century, states formed competing alliance in response to this rising German power
The alliance pattern contributed to the outbreak of WWI:
- Small conflicts escalated
- Alliances created incentives for preventive war
- Major powers became dependent allies
- The larger number of states increased the chances of miscalculation
The interwar period posed similar
problems
Major European Powers in 1914
Alliances also did not prevent WWII
Britain did not support France when
Germany challenged the harsh peace of
the Treaty of Versailles
French alliances with Eastern Europe
lacked credibility (due to distance)
Britain, France, and the Society Union did not form an alliance against Germany
The Soviet/Germany 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop divided Poland
Soviets jumped on the German bandwagon
In August 1939, Britain formed a defensive alliance with Poland:
- One month later, Germany invaded Poland
- Britain stepped in to defend its ally, and WW2 began
NATO’s Membership
Created in 1949 to include Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Iceland, Italy,
Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, UK, USA
Expanded several times to its current 28 member states:
- 1952: Greece and Turkey
- 1955: West Germany
- 1982: Spain
- 1999 Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland
- 2004: Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia
- 2009: Albania & Croatia
Warsaw Pact
Formed in 1955 after West Germany was admitted into NATO
Australia’s Alliances
1951 Australia, New Zealand, United States Security (ANZUS) Treaty
- NZ withdrawn in 1986 after declaring NZ a nuclear-free zone
- NZ and Australia formed alternate arrangement
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Document Summary

Alliances: states commit to security alliances when states have compatible interests in military cooperation, alliances can change bargaining dynamics. Types of alliances: alliance types defined by power distribution: Bilateral or between several states (e. g. nato) Asymmetrical a powerful state commits to defending a weaker state (e. g. us and. South korea: alliance types according to promise response. Offensive state a will come to state b"s aid if state b starts a war. Defensive state a will come to state b"s aid if state b is attacked. Alliances and the balance of power: balancing results in roughly equal blocs. Small states seek to avoid domination by alliance leader. Alliance with strong state threatens state freedom: balancing does not explain all alliance formation. Powerful states do not always generate opposing alliances: other explanations: Bandwagoning when states join winning side e. g. italy in 1943 during ww2. Affinity shared culture, ideology, or religion.

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