PSCI 3107 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Group Dynamics, Geoffrey Blainey, Enemy Image

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Paper focus on the beginning of the war. Ps(cid:455)(cid:272)hologi(cid:272)al models fo(cid:272)us o(cid:374) : co(cid:374)te(cid:374)t of a(cid:374) i(cid:374)di(cid:448)idual(cid:859)s (cid:271)elief s(cid:455)ste(cid:373, psychological process through which an individual acquires information and makes decisions, personalities and emotional states of individuals. Group dynamics: these sort of models posit that intra-group pressures also can bias the interpretation of information and thereby influence policy choices, underlying assumptions of these models is that ego defense constitutes a principle force in human cognition. Misperception (levy)= involves a discrepancy between the psychological environment of the de(cid:272)isio(cid:374) (cid:373)akers a(cid:374)d the operatio(cid:374)al e(cid:374)(cid:448)iro(cid:374)(cid:373)e(cid:374)t of the (cid:858)real (cid:449)orld(cid:859) Misperception (jervis)= includes inaccurate inferences, miscalculations of consequences, and (cid:373)isjudge(cid:373)e(cid:374)ts a(cid:271)out ho(cid:449) others (cid:449)ill rea(cid:272)t to o(cid:374)e(cid:859)s poli(cid:272)ies. Misper(cid:272)eptions of the adversary"s (cid:272)apa(cid:271)ilities: military overconfidence an important form of misperception leading to war, military under confidence= o(cid:448)eresti(cid:373)atio(cid:374) or e(cid:454)aggeratio(cid:374) of the ad(cid:448)ersar(cid:455)(cid:859)s capabilities may also lead to war.

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