PSCI 3603 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Moral Hazard, Decisive Victory
1 Aug 2016
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Civil war breakdown: question the dominant view that actors in civil war are irrational. Fought among self-aware groups with political goals: over a period of time. Politics abhors a vacuum: state weakness provides opportunity . armed groups not as easily deterred armed groups not as easily defeated by government forces. Civil war is anarchy: absence of central power. Security becomes the primary concern of groups living within the state. Security dilemmas and cooperation in civil wars may be more difficult. Civilians and combatants can choose sides or defect. Hard to identify enemy sympathizers or collaborators. Armies must compete and win civilian loyalty. Intelligence gathering + military force necessary for victory. Security dilemmas are worse when: a) offense and defense are indistinguishable: b) when offense is more effective than defense. Moderately dangerous: minority pockets in separated ethnic groups. Is absolutely required to enforce the terms of any peace agreement and,
