PSYC 2400 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Survival Analysis, Risk Assessment, Base Rate
22 Apr 2016
School
Department
Course
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Document Summary
Risk is viewed as a range (steadman, 2000) Base rate represents the % of people in a given population who commit a criminal act. Prediction is difficult when base rates are too high/low. False positives tend to occur with low base rates. Dixon v. attorney general of the commonwealth of pennsylvania. Base rate for violence was low and false positive rate was high. 3 weaknesses in research (monahan & steadman, 1994) Alarm doesn"t sound, but person is carrying metal. Identification of factors relating to why the individual offended. General statistical information on recidivism (gsir; nuffield, 1982) Violence risk appraisal guide (vrag; harris rice, & quinsev, 1993) Level of service inventory-revised (lsi-r; andrews & bonta, 1995) Spousal assault risk assessment (sara; kropp et al. , 1999) Ontario domestic assault risk assessment (odara; hilton et al. , 2004) Rapid risk assessment for sex offence recidivism (rrasor; hanson, Little research on why offenders stop committing crimes.
