POLSCI 1G06 Lecture 21: November 21, 2013 - Transitions to Democracy - Lecture #21.doc

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According to samuel huntington"s the third wave of democracy, democracy has expanded in 3 major historical waves. Reverse wave beginning in 1922 12 democracies. 117 states (freedom house as of 2012) The question now being asked is whether democracy will continue its forward march, whether the advance of democracy has stopped, or even whether we are on the precipice of a third reverse wave. Huntington argued that there were five factors contributing to the occurrence and timing of the 3rd wave : a deepening legitimacy crisis in authoritarian regimes that had based their authority on a means-ends justification . By the 1970s it was apparent that at least some authoritarian states - former high growth states - were stagnating economically. Particularly centrally planned economies: rapid economic growth in 1960s, 70s, 80s. At the same time, other market-based authoritarian states experienced sustained economic growth.

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