POLI 260 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: Hegemony, The Strongest, Status Quo
7 Mar 2018
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Can"t affect costs if you don"t fight. Buy arms/form alliance: balancing (today) internal balance. An increase in the security of one state decreases the security of others. Cd e. g i disarm, the other arms and attacks: uk does nothing, russia builds a railway. Dd e. g we both arm; might result in a costly war: uk builds, russia builds. Cc - e. g both cooperate, gains accrue to both. Dc e. g other side disarms, i attack and make gains. The dilemma: 1 with risk of 3 or 2 with risk of 4. By cheating (d) you can get an advantage: you can win the jackpot (dc) By cheating, you can be worse off than when you started, if other side does same (dd): you lose benefits of cooperation cc (opportunity cost, if other sides cheats = costly war of costly peace. But defecting (dd) may be preferable to being conquered. In security dilemma, potential losses must be weighed against potential gains.
