POLI 360 Lecture Notes - Lecture 10: Military Operation Plan, Sea Lane, Opec
Document Summary
Different causal logics can predict different outcomes from the same antecedent conditions, such as the effects of trade on wars (ex. Vulnerability and interdependence can both result from trade: vulnerability: states want to be self-sufficient but modern economies need a range of inputs. Thus, states become vulnerable to other states refusing to trade essential inputs (ex. oil) Other states controlling supply routes also can lead to war (choke points) > a state may engage in war to avoid vulnerability (capture inputs or control supply) Hitler in ww2, needed to capture romania (source of oil) Japan much weaker then us economically, much bigger power. Forced us into war (hurts germany as well); balance of power shifts. Japan had an advanced industrial economy, but no oil (was getting most from. Problem: french, british, dutch and especially americans are sitting there. Japan expanding power by occupying china: problem because threatens.
