GG102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 18: Population Momentum, Core Countries
Document Summary
Obviously, population processes are once again playing out very differently in core countries and peripheral countries. Let"s begin with the first difference: the fact that populations grow at very different rates. In core countries, the result of dropping birth rates is that natural population growth (i. e. , the population growth that is not due to immigration) is almost nil: in canada, the natural growth rate is a mere 0. 4%. Even when immigration is counted in, population growth barely amounts to 1: without immigration, canada"s population would grow by less than 100,000 people per year. Because of the dramatic decline in birth rates, some core countries will actually experience shrinking populations within two or three decades. In the last lesson, we already looked at the socio-economic consequences of this decline in birth rates. There, we predicted the financial and overall economic effects of the ageing baby boom generation and the "missing" replacements in the following generation (the "generation x").
