PHILOS 25B Lecture Notes - Lecture 16: Causal Inference
Document Summary
Can"t figure out by reasoning alone, can only use experience. Cannot discover through reasoning alone what the cause or effect or set of events occurring is. X causes y is always a matter of fact. Our justification for believing such claims is always going to come from experience. The problem of induction: as cause bs, as are and always will be followed by bs a. i. must use a causal inference a. ii. Every a i"ve observed so far has been followed by a b a. ii. 1. So as are and always will be followed by bs (inductive inference) The sun will rise tomorrow : matter of fact a. i. In the past, the sun has risen everyday a. i. 1. a. (the future will be like the past) so in the future, the sun will rise a. i. 1. b. a. i. 1. b. i. a. i. 1. b. ii. a. i. 1. b. iii.
