POL SCI 164A Lecture Notes - Lecture 23: Nineteenth Amendment To The United States Constitution
PS 164A Lecture 4/19 Early Development
Impression Years (IYs)
● 18-25
● Years in which political socialization is the most significant
● Learning
○ Developing a schema
● Opinion formation and change from pre-adult baseline
○ Forming opinions on issues
○ Beddington study
■ Political development of college-aged women
■ Many of them became liberals and democrats
■ Many had conservative leanings pre-adult, became liberal during IYs
which persisted for the rest of their lives (or for the continuation of the
study)
● Exception: women who went home from college
■ Randomly assigned liberal or conservative dorm room
● More conservative roommates - you turn more conservative
● More liberal roommates - you turn more liberal
○ Nixon’s draft lottery for conscription
● Unless you received a deferment, you went to Vietnam
● Draft boards were prioritizing friends of friends an out from conscription
● Bias in favor of conscripting non-whites and poor people
● Probability of voting for Nixon for re-election vs people with low draft
numbers (1) and high draft numbers (366) - 20% vs 62%
○ People with low draft numbers had tougher lives - not easy to get
jobs
■ Low draft number people were not the same at all in terms
of politics between 18 and 26 - they completely changed
(except for partisan ideology, weak correlation)
○ High draft number people also changed quite a bit as well, except
on partisan ideology again
○ Ramifications of vietnam war completely changed these people
● Attitude crystallization
○ Strength and intensity increase
○ Stability increases
■ Probability of attitude changing between 25-36 is low as oppose to 18-25
○ Constraints increase
■ 18-25: attitudes are inconsistent (no constraint, low consistency)
Document Summary
Years in which political socialization is the most significant. Opinion formation and change from pre-adult baseline. Many of them became liberals and democrats. Many had conservative leanings pre-adult, became liberal during iys which persisted for the rest of their lives (or for the continuation of the study) Exception: women who went home from college. Randomly assigned liberal or conservative dorm room. More conservative roommates - you turn more conservative. More liberal roommates - you turn more liberal. Unless you received a deferment, you went to vietnam. Draft boards were prioritizing friends of friends an out from conscription. Bias in favor of conscripting non-whites and poor people. Probability of voting for nixon for re-election vs people with low draft numbers (1) and high draft numbers (366) - 20% vs 62% People with low draft numbers had tougher lives - not easy to get jobs.