POL SCI 164A Lecture Notes - Lecture 23: Nineteenth Amendment To The United States Constitution

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PS 164A Lecture 4/19 Early Development
Impression Years (IYs)
18-25
Years in which political socialization is the most significant
Learning
Developing a schema
Opinion formation and change from pre-adult baseline
Forming opinions on issues
Beddington study
Political development of college-aged women
Many of them became liberals and democrats
Many had conservative leanings pre-adult, became liberal during IYs
which persisted for the rest of their lives (or for the continuation of the
study)
Exception: women who went home from college
Randomly assigned liberal or conservative dorm room
More conservative roommates - you turn more conservative
More liberal roommates - you turn more liberal
Nixon’s draft lottery for conscription
Unless you received a deferment, you went to Vietnam
Draft boards were prioritizing friends of friends an out from conscription
Bias in favor of conscripting non-whites and poor people
Probability of voting for Nixon for re-election vs people with low draft
numbers (1) and high draft numbers (366) - 20% vs 62%
People with low draft numbers had tougher lives - not easy to get
jobs
Low draft number people were not the same at all in terms
of politics between 18 and 26 - they completely changed
(except for partisan ideology, weak correlation)
High draft number people also changed quite a bit as well, except
on partisan ideology again
Ramifications of vietnam war completely changed these people
Attitude crystallization
Strength and intensity increase
Stability increases
Probability of attitude changing between 25-36 is low as oppose to 18-25
Constraints increase
18-25: attitudes are inconsistent (no constraint, low consistency)
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Document Summary

Years in which political socialization is the most significant. Opinion formation and change from pre-adult baseline. Many of them became liberals and democrats. Many had conservative leanings pre-adult, became liberal during iys which persisted for the rest of their lives (or for the continuation of the study) Exception: women who went home from college. Randomly assigned liberal or conservative dorm room. More conservative roommates - you turn more conservative. More liberal roommates - you turn more liberal. Unless you received a deferment, you went to vietnam. Draft boards were prioritizing friends of friends an out from conscription. Bias in favor of conscripting non-whites and poor people. Probability of voting for nixon for re-election vs people with low draft numbers (1) and high draft numbers (366) - 20% vs 62% People with low draft numbers had tougher lives - not easy to get jobs.

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