POL SCI 3 Lecture Notes - Lecture 14: Dialectic, Operationalization, Traffic Ticket

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The difference between the people just above and below the cutpoint estimate of causal effect of x on y among the people near the cutpoint (many ways to estimate) Potential problems (1) corruption in the assignment: give ineligible people x, do a test where you measure the percentage of cases at each level of your assignment variable (ex. Race: want to see that there is no discontinuity at the cutpoint, if there is discontinuity, the z is a confound, ex. Av- bac, cutpoint- 0. 08, x- traffic ticket, y- subsequent: ex. Y- attendance at the museum, x- free pass to the museum, ticket. Attendance: confound, find that people who get no x attend the museum less. Av age, cutpoint-65 (hypothesize that free pass: hold x percentage of people retired constant, find and those who get x have higher attendance discontinuity confound. What you think about concept come up with a definition. Marital status/ degree of anxiety/ evaluation of trump: people.

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