FIN 305 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Efficient-Market Hypothesis

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1 Feb 2019
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In an efficient market, the market prices of all traded assets (such as stocks and bonds) fully reflect all available information at any instant in time. Thus stock prices are a useful indicator of the value of the firm. Price changes reflect changes in expected future cash flows. Good decisions will tend to increase in stock price and vice versa. *note there are inefficiencies in the market that may distort the market prices from value of assets. Such inefficiencies are often caused by behavioral biases. Ted talk: a money economy is irrational as ours. Even though we"re incredibly smart as a species, we can also be incredibly dumb. We continue to make the same errors over and over again. Different possibilities and rationales: the environment is messed up, our minds are messed up. If you saw the numbers, you couldn"t tell a monkey"s economic decisions from a human"s.

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