PSY 452 Lecture Notes - Lecture 13: Offender Profiling, Sistine Chapel, Early Music

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Expertise (cid:862)ho(cid:449) do (cid:449)e k(cid:374)o(cid:449) so(cid:373)eo(cid:374)e is a(cid:374) e(cid:454)pert? (cid:863) Are they people we (or peers) judge to be experts. Analyzed data for orchestral auditions: auditio(cid:374)ed judged (cid:271)(cid:455) (cid:272)o(cid:373)(cid:373)ittee of (cid:862)e(cid:454)perts(cid:863, some auditions are blind (a screen is used). Reviewed 62 studies of physician performance and experience: 52% showed performance decreases with increasing experience for all outcomes assessed, only 1 study (2%) showed performance increases with experience. Money: fi(cid:374)a(cid:374)(cid:272)ial (cid:862)e(cid:454)perts(cid:863) get retur(cid:374)s (cid:374)o (cid:271)etter tha(cid:374) the (cid:373)arker. Sports betting: (cid:862)e(cid:454)perts(cid:863) (cid:374)o (cid:271)etter tha(cid:374) pi(cid:272)ki(cid:374)g ho(cid:373)e tea(cid:373) (cid:449)i(cid:374) The fbi compiles about 1,000 criminal profiles a year. Very small differences are evident in studies comparing profilers with non-profilers. Snook et al. (2008): (cid:862) a(cid:374)(cid:455) poli(cid:272)e professio(cid:374)al (cid:449)ith a good k(cid:374)o(cid:449)ledge of the (cid:272)ri(cid:373)i(cid:374)ologi(cid:272)al literature should (cid:271)e a(cid:271)le to a(cid:272)hie(cid:448)e this si(cid:373)pl(cid:455) (cid:271)(cid:455) rel(cid:455)i(cid:374)g o(cid:374) (cid:271)ase rate i(cid:374)for(cid:373)atio(cid:374). (cid:863) (cid:894)p. (cid:1008)(cid:1009)(cid:895) Any individual who can consistently and reliably demonstrate superior performance on tasks designed to test that ability.

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