POLS G4845 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Brinkmanship, Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Guardian Council
18 Apr 2016
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Will iran get a bomg or be bombed itself this year? graham allison, 2013. Allison says in 2013 iran will not be bombed and will not get a bomb correct! When will iran get nuclear weapon: depends on iran"s decision of when, path it chooses, and obstacles along the way. U. s. intelligence believes that the answer is clearly no. Iran could also get bomb by sneaking out through secret, undeclared facilities (current facilities were secret until they were discovered) Allison believes deals are possible but difficult to align interests. Netanyahu will try to push us into decision between attacking or acquiescing, but. Israel has already drawn and revised several red lines for iranian production of uranium. Were the u. s. to discover unambiguous evidence that iran had begun breaking out on a timetable that could be stopped by an american attack, an attack would be likely.
