POLSCI 240 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Internal Validity, Causal Inference, Motivation

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Political Psychology
9.05.16 Lecture Notes
The Basics of Political Participation
Primary research methods that political psychologists use
o Case studies, in-depth interviews (small n)
Learn the idiosyncrasies of a given unit
Overcomes the limitations of public opinion surveys, such as lack of depth
Limited ability to generalize (lower generalizability)
o Public opinion surveys (usually large n)
Easy to administer
Reliability is questionable, are people really giving meaningful answers
o Experiments
Interested in causal relationships
Causality is hard to measure in a public opinion survey
Direction of causality is also hard to assess, which is why experiments are useful
o Ex: the problem of causal inference
Does negative ads depress voter turnout?
There are alternative explanations
Maybe people who exhibit political distrust are more likely to remember negative
ads and the political distrust is what is causing the lack of turnout
o Random assignment in experiments
Instead of observing the independent variable, the experimenter manipulates the
independent variable
Randomly people to view negative or positive ads and observe the turnout
o Innovations in experimentation
Experiments have their own limitations
Strict control implies artificial environments (decreases generalizability because the
generalization is a jump from an artificial context to the real world) and
unrepresentative samples (experimentation is costly so most of the samples are
college students)
External and internal validity
New methods to helping overcome some of these limitations
Survey experiments
o Combining survey and experiment = embedding experimentation into
the survey makes sample more representative
Field experiments
o Experiment occurs within people’s day-to-day lives
o Ex: Experiment on turnout with letters (neighbors will know if you
voted)
Natural experiments
o Find a situation in the world some variable is already naturally
assigned to people and you study the consequences of that
When (and why) do or don’t people participate?
o They can’t lack of resources
o They don’t want to lack of intrinsic motivation
Civic duty, morality
o Nobody asked lack of extrinsic motivation
Social pressure, reputation
Traditional rational choice approach
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