ECON-200 Lecture Notes - Lecture 27: Substitute Good, Japanese Yen, Macroeconomics

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turquoiseturtle299

9 Sep 2020

School

Diablo Valley College

Department

Economics

Course

ECON-200

Professor

Sorce

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Document Summary

What is an open economy? it is all about trade and financial flows. The two most important international prices are the nominal international transactions are influenced by international prices. exchange rate and the real exchange rate. In units of foreign currency per on australian dollar: indirect quote. In unit of australian dollars per one unit of the foreign currency: direct quote. Assume the exchange rate between the japanese yen and australian dollar is 80 yen to one dollar. One australian dollar trades for 80 yen. One yen trades for 1/80 (=0. 0125) of a dollar. Nominal er adjusted for price level differences. The rate at which a person can trade the goods and services of one country for the goods and services of another. We multiplied 3 and 4 and divided the result by 2. We calculated e p / p* Where e is the nominal exchange rate, p* is the foreign price level and p is the domestic price level.

Related Questions

Assume that the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen are the only two currencies in the world.

a. A bilateral nominal exchange rate S is the spot (now) exchange value of one currency in terms of the other and S can be written as dollars per 1 yen or yen per 1 dollar. If S = yen/1 dollar = 76.92 then the inverse 1/S gives dollars per 1 yen where 1/S = 1/(yen/1 dollar) = 1/76.92 = .013. If the 1/S increases to .014, has the dollar appreciated (1 dollar is worth more yen) or depreciated (1 dollar is worth less yen)? Explain.

b. Changes in demand and supply in the foreign exchange (FX) market determine the value of floating exchange rates S. If S is expressed as S = yen/1 dollar, then we have the FX market in terms of the demand and supply of dollars. (If S = dollars/1 yen, then we get the FX market in terms of the demand and supply of yen. Note also that no matter which currency the FX market is expressed, it is still an FX market where dollars are exchanged for yen. This means that an upward-sloping supply of dollars curve is exactly the same as a demand for yen curve and a downward-sloping demand for dollars curve is exactly the same as a supply of yen curve). Using S = yen/1 dollar and the FX market in terms of the demand and supply of dollars, an increase in S (dollar appreciation) leads to an increase in the number of dollars supplied (increase in the quantity of yen demanded). For dollar demand (or the supply of yen), an increase in S (dollar appreciation) leads to a decrease in the number of dollars demanded (or an increase in the number of yen supplied). The dollar demand curve shifts to the right if more yen are offered for dollars at any exchange rate S. An increase in dollar demand is caused mostly by private sector transactions in the current and capital accounts. Either an increase in demand for U.S. goods (merchandise trade in the current account) or an increase in demand for U.S. stocks and bonds (capital account inflows) will shift the dollar demand curve to the right. If private transactions in the current and capital accounts also cause shifts in the dollar supply curve, what are the corresponding factors that would lead to an increase in dollars supplied (yen demanded) at any exchange rate S?

brownhorse801

Subaru's Sales Boom Thanks to the Weaker Yen For the Japanese carmaker Subaru, a sharp fall in the value of yen against the U.S. dollar has turned a problem the lack of U.S. production into an unexpected sales boom. Subaru, which is a niche player in the global auto industry, has long bucked the trend among its Japanese rivals of establishing significant manufacturing facilities in the North American market. Instead, the company has chosen to concentrate most of its manufacturing in Japan in order to achieve economies of scale at its home plants, exporting its production to the United States. Subaru still makes 80 percent of its vehicles at home, compared with 21 percent for Honda. Back in 2012, this strategy was viewed as something of a liability. In those days, one U.S. dollar bought only 80 Japanese yen. The strong yen meant that Subaru cars were being priced out of the U.S. market. Japanese companies like Honda and Toyota, which had substantial production in the United States, gained business at Subaru's expense. But from 2012 onward, with Japan mired in recession and consumer prices falling, the country's central bank repeatedly cut interest rates in an attempt to stimulate the economy. As interest rates fell in Japan, investors moved money out of the country, selling yen and buying the U.S. dollar. They used those dollars to invest in U.S. stocks and bonds where they anticipated a greater return. As a consequence, the price of yen in terms of dollars fell. By December 2015, one dollar bought 120 yen, representing a 50 percent fall in the value of the yen against the U.S. dollar since 2012. For Subaru, the depreciation in the value of the yen has given it a pricing advantage and driven a sales boom. Demand for Subaru cars in the United States has been so strong that the automaker has been struggling to keep up. The profits of Subaru's parent company, Fuji Heavy Industries, have surged. In February 2015, Fuji announced that it would earn record operating profits of around Â¥410 billion ($3.5 billion) for the financial year ending March 2015. Subaru's profit margin has increased to 14.4 percent, compared with 5.6 percent for Honda, a company that is heavily dependent on U.S. production. The good times continued in 2015, with Subaru posting record profits in the quarter ending December 31, 2015. Despite its current pricing advantage, Subaru is moving to increase its U.S. production. It plans to expand its sole plant in the United States, in Indiana, by March 2017, with a goal of making 310,000 a year, up from 200,000 currently. When asked why it is doing this, Subaru's management notes that the yen will not stay weak against the dollar forever, and it is wise to expand local production as a hedge against future increases in the value of the yen. Indeed, when the Bank of Japan decided to set a key interest rate below zero in early February 2016, the yen started to appreciate against the U.S. dollar, presumably on expectations that negative interest rates would finally help stimulate Japan's sluggish economy. By late March 2016, the yen had appreciated against the dollar and was trading at $1=112 yen. Sources: Chang-Ran Kim,Subaru-Maker, Fuji Heavy Lifts Profit View on Rosy US Sales, Weak Yen Reuters, February 3, 2015; Yoko Kubota, Why Subaru's Profit Is Surging, The Wall Street Journal, November 14, 2014; Doron Levin, Subaru Profit Soaring on Weaker Yen, Market Watch, November 15, 2014; Y. Kubato, Weaker Yen Drives Subaru Makers Profit Higher, The Wall Street Journal, February 4, 2016. Page 294

Case Discussion Questions:

Why do you think that historically, Subaru chose to export production from Japan, rather than set up manufacturing facilities in the United States like its Japanese rivals?

What are the currency risks associated with Subaru's export strategy?

What are the potential benefits? Why did Subaru's sales and profits surge in 2014 and 2015? Is Subaru wise to expand its U.S. production capacity?

What other strategies could the company use to hedge against adverse changes in exchange rates? What are the pros and cons of the different hedging strategies Subaru might adopt?

ambermoose899

1.Purchasing power parity implies that

a. the real exchange rate is equal to 1.

b. the law of one price does not hold.

c. inflation rates are equal across countries.

d. the real exchange rate is equal to 0.

e. if the domestic country has low prices, then the domestic currency will depreciate until foreign citizens can buy the same amount of goods as domestic citizens.

2.Which of the following is a prediction from the PPP model of exchange rates?

A. An increase in the US money supply leads to an appreciation of the dollar in the long run.

B. An increase in US production leads to a depreciation of the dollar.

C. An increase in US production will lead to a proportional increase in the inflation rate.

D, An increase in the US money supply leads to a depreciation of the dollar in the long run.

E.An increase in the US interest rates leads to a fall in prices.

3.Relative purchasing power parity predicts that

A.the difference between the inflation rates in the two countries should equal the ratio of the interest rates in the two countries.

B. the difference between the inflation rates in two countries should equal the per cent change in the exchange rate.

C.inflation rates should be equal across countries.

D.the real exchange rate should equal one.

E.relative price levels in the two countries should be equal when expressed in the same currency.

4.Which of the following is NOT a valid explanation for the failure of purchasing power parity?

a. Differences in monetary policies across countries

b. Lack of competition

c. Transportation costs

d. Trade barriers

5.If P represents (the level of) domestic prices, P* represents (the level of) foreign prices and E represents the exchange rate as units of domestic currency per units of foreign currency, then the real exchange rate equals

a. EP/P*	b. P*/EP
C. E/PP*	d. EP*/P
e. P/P*

6.The difference between nominal and real interest rates is that

A.Nominal interest rates are measured in terms of a country's output, while real interest rates are measured in monetary terms

B.Nominal interest rates are measured in monetary terms, while real interest rates are measured in terms of a country's output

C.Nominal interest rates can fluctuate, while real interest rates always remain fixed

D.Real interest rates can fluctuate, while nominal interest rates always remain fixed

E.Real interest rates are the same in every country, while nominal interest rates are different for every country

7.Which of the following is predicted to cause the value (or price or cost) of U.S. goods to appreciate relative to the value (or price or cost) of foreign goods in the long run?

a. An increase in the growth rate of U.S. GNP. b. A decrease in the growth rate of U.S. GNP.

c. A decline in the growth rate of the U.S. money supply.

d. An increase in the price of petroleum that reduces world demand for American cars. e. An appreciation of the dollar.

jadewallaby469

ECON-200 Lecture Notes - Lecture 27: Substitute Good, Japanese Yen, Macroeconomics

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