CPO-2002 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Dependent And Independent Variables, Autocracy, Modernization Theory
Document Summary
~all societies develop through a series of stages. --figure 6. 1 shows major shifts between traditional and modern society. ~as countries develop economically, they are more likely to become and remain democratic. --dv: the thing we want to explain; the outcome variable. Ex) the probability that a country becomes a democracy given that it was a dictatorship the previous year. --iv: how we will explain the dv; the explanatory variable. --positive coefficient: has an effect on democracy occurring. --points close together on graph = very small standard error; we can be confident in results. --x axis is iv, y axis is dv. --remember: correlation is not causation; you want to take a closer look at other implications. ~survival story: development does not make democracy more likely to emerge, but it makes them more likely to remain democracies. Ex) no democracy collapsed if it had a per capita income higher than that of argentina in.
