CPO-2002 Lecture Notes - Lecture 66: Asymmetric Federalism, Mixed Government, George Tsebelis

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The size of the winset has a significant impact on policy outcomes. When the winset is small, policy stability is high because there are few policy alternatives that can defeat the status quo. When the winset is large, policy stability is low because there are many policy alternatives that can defeat the status quo. When the winset is small, policy shifts must necessarily be small; it is impossible to move policy far from the status quo. When the winset is large, the possibility arises for more radical shifts in policy. When the winset is small, policy shifts are always small. When the winset is large, policy shifts may be large or small; the variance in the size of policy shifts is larger. When the winset is small, the agenda setter cannot move policy far from where the other veto players want to move it if they were the agenda setter.

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